Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2.158920 2.469462 2.799970 3.176937 3.593979 4.040233 4.552830
2025-01-05 1.662093 2.104788 2.614061 3.238542 3.978661 4.822744 5.852790
2025-01-12 1.273509 1.772682 2.389130 3.194890 4.207775 5.425754 6.986671
2025-01-19 1.038861 1.574236 2.278052 3.249757 4.532729 6.143450 8.289875
2025-01-26 0.860776 1.411637 2.178456 3.290098 4.822029 6.817457 9.565131
2025-02-02 0.727989 1.285333 2.103079 3.341691 5.114146 7.497603 10.872558
2025-02-09 0.608098 1.154898 1.999308 3.332856 5.309591 8.046832 12.022348
2025-02-16 0.501731 1.025523 1.876516 3.276095 5.421628 8.475648 13.017039
2025-02-23 0.432614 0.945771 1.818535 3.306353 5.654860 9.077880 14.270932
2025-03-02 0.362746 0.851223 1.722416 3.262815 5.766710 9.502807 15.283258
2025-03-09 0.317411 0.794274 1.681645 3.301823 6.003167 10.115629 16.585316
2025-03-16 0.272368 0.729053 1.616987 3.291935 6.156643 10.605550 17.720234
2025-03-23 0.248689 0.706311 1.630585 3.423324 6.556085 11.502918 19.522173
2025-03-30 0.223684 0.676106 1.626651 3.523552 6.911037 12.349943 21.286868
2025-04-06 0.188946 0.615497 1.554545 3.491655 7.038394 12.842141 22.525520
2025-04-13 0.167708 0.583335 1.535944 3.557076 7.335902 13.617691 24.231673
2025-04-20 0.147718 0.549661 1.509285 3.603281 7.600064 14.347539 25.889117
2025-04-27 0.131045 0.520995 1.489455 3.660028 7.884432 15.119867 27.638039
2025-05-04 0.112488 0.481800 1.439959 3.651039 8.045641 15.689770 29.076462
2025-05-11 0.093827 0.436575 1.369267 3.590142 8.103814 16.083827 30.237275
2025-05-18 0.082388 0.411555 1.344009 3.622821 8.339787 16.790348 31.933083
2025-05-25 0.069112 0.375574 1.285310 3.575975 8.417059 17.220345 33.177756
2025-06-01 0.061102 0.356395 1.267500 3.618002 8.669372 17.965246 34.970459